https://www.tarvislabs.com/leakedalpha daily 0.75 2022-08-28 https://www.tarvislabs.com/leakedalpha/theweekendrundown-checkmating-beras monthly 0.5 2022-08-28 https://images.squarespace-cdn.com/content/v1/62f20cc24ebb3315f7d5568f/8093f96c-d5d2-4295-8b1f-d07c3f6d0831/img3.png Leaked Alpha - The Weekend Rundown - Checkmating Beras - Make it stand out Whatever it is, the way you tell your story online can make all the difference. https://images.squarespace-cdn.com/content/v1/62f20cc24ebb3315f7d5568f/d8d23c62-44dc-4683-988f-ba7d4a604a53/img5.png Leaked Alpha - The Weekend Rundown - Checkmating Beras - Make it stand out TOTAL represents the market cap of the entire crypto market. We can also see that the crypto market retested previous ATH at $766b and bounced back, due to the hype of ETH 2.0 and a price rebound by BTC. There is significant support for the crypto market back down to $766b and it is currently retesting the support at $963b. https://images.squarespace-cdn.com/content/v1/62f20cc24ebb3315f7d5568f/7f0dfaec-88ef-486e-9914-396464b867b2/img6.png Leaked Alpha - The Weekend Rundown - Checkmating Beras - Make it stand out Remember when we brought up the Bitcoin MACD/signal cross in the first image on this post? There was a good reason. The 1d MACD/signal cross has shown to be a good indicator of the beginning of the next move down (bearish cross) and when the move down begins to settle at a price (bullish cross). We can see we just had the bearish cross downward. https://images.squarespace-cdn.com/content/v1/62f20cc24ebb3315f7d5568f/1661619974142-HIP7EX1ZSY2GQ3W5W0G4/unsplash-image-lwACYK8ScmA.jpg Leaked Alpha - The Weekend Rundown - Checkmating Beras - Make it stand out Whatever it is, the way you tell your story online can make all the difference. https://images.squarespace-cdn.com/content/v1/62f20cc24ebb3315f7d5568f/63cfb1da-7199-43b4-a90a-023eb903011b/look_into_bitcoin.png Leaked Alpha - The Weekend Rundown - Checkmating Beras - Make it stand out We can see whales nailed the last two bottoms, accumulating at the 2014/2015 bear market bottom and the 2018 bear market bottom. Well, where are they now? Whales haven’t started accumulating. Whales are clearly waiting for a better signal the bottom is in or don’t believe the bottom is in, potentially hesitant because of macroeconomic factors. https://images.squarespace-cdn.com/content/v1/62f20cc24ebb3315f7d5568f/d86e9222-b10d-4fa3-b023-4f5ec58b2db2/img8.png Leaked Alpha - The Weekend Rundown - Checkmating Beras - Make it stand out From a TA perspective, DXY is showing a lot of strength but is up against major resistance. If we see it pop through its current resistance at 108.40 it could continue to put pressure on a BTC rebound until the next major resistance level at 112.26. https://images.squarespace-cdn.com/content/v1/62f20cc24ebb3315f7d5568f/eb94e815-a43f-4017-b419-ebf2bbacb5b4/img4.png Leaked Alpha - The Weekend Rundown - Checkmating Beras - Make it stand out we can see the previous ATH support zone and the significant diagonal S/R trendline outlined above. This would give major support down to $18.8k and if it held it would mean the bottom is in. https://images.squarespace-cdn.com/content/v1/62f20cc24ebb3315f7d5568f/4c0bfa2d-3877-421e-949c-cc0b565023be/img9.png Leaked Alpha - The Weekend Rundown - Checkmating Beras - Make it stand out Because the 1 week RSI went so low during this drop, it opened the door to the possibility of the 1w RSI bullish divergence. This would be a clear indicator of a market reversal in our eyes. Historically, the 3 day RSI bullish divergence has been a significant indicator of market reversal post major drops. It happened during the 2018 bear market and May 2021 china ban. The 1 week RSI would be an even larger signal of market reversal. The only way this doesn’t hit is if we post a new low on the 1 week RSI which would probably come from a price drop to around $13k which would also be a major bottom signal as it would likely form a double bottom on the RSI below 30. Regardless, there is no escaping that in terms of time the end is near for the bear market. https://images.squarespace-cdn.com/content/v1/62f20cc24ebb3315f7d5568f/ebfd76df-c918-428e-b97e-d0a918402e9b/img7.png Leaked Alpha - The Weekend Rundown - Checkmating Beras - Make it stand out We can see a very strong correlation between DXY and BTC. At the end of the day, BTC is a currency and is to be compared against other currencies. When DXY is strengthening BTC price weakens, and when DXY is weakening BTC price strengthens. Again, while we are not macroeconomists the theory is simple — DXY will continue to strengthen with a hawkish federal reserve and they will continue to raise interest rates to combat inflation which will strengthen the dollar. The federal reserve will begin to slow rates when inflation begins to fall. Quoting Jerome Powell, “What we’re looking for is compelling evidence that inflationary pressures are abating and that inflation is moving back down… We’d like to see that in the form of a series of declining monthly inflation readings.” This all becomes hazy quickly as we try and balance not only the approach by the federal reserve, but also the market baking in the hawkishness of the fed and their expectations. Determining the movement of DXY, the decision of the fed, and the market’s reaction to all of it is complicated. Instead we can use S/R trendlines to try and determine continued strength by DXY which should make us hesitant of a bounce back by BTC. https://images.squarespace-cdn.com/content/v1/62f20cc24ebb3315f7d5568f/bc416e60-ef06-45d2-8ce9-6707489b3439/img1.png Leaked Alpha - The Weekend Rundown - Checkmating Beras - Make it stand out Whatever it is, the way you tell your story online can make all the difference. https://www.tarvislabs.com/leakedalpha/the-weekend-rundown-how-does-this-bear-market-look-compared-to-historical monthly 0.5 2022-08-28 https://images.squarespace-cdn.com/content/v1/62f20cc24ebb3315f7d5568f/d8817e86-7731-4795-805d-be7e3c749f2b/look_into_bitcoin+%281%29.png Leaked Alpha - The Weekend Rundown - How does this bear market look compared to historical? - Make it stand out chart from lookintobitcoin.com https://images.squarespace-cdn.com/content/v1/62f20cc24ebb3315f7d5568f/7ba31cfc-30f2-428c-aa93-026a377114f4/1.png Leaked Alpha - The Weekend Rundown - How does this bear market look compared to historical? - Make it stand out Whatever it is, the way you tell your story online can make all the difference. https://images.squarespace-cdn.com/content/v1/62f20cc24ebb3315f7d5568f/32a1ed3c-1c50-4d7f-83e7-ee8eba8807bc/4.png Leaked Alpha - The Weekend Rundown - How does this bear market look compared to historical? - Make it stand out Whatever it is, the way you tell your story online can make all the difference. https://images.squarespace-cdn.com/content/v1/62f20cc24ebb3315f7d5568f/1834877d-4a1e-4a8b-a731-e189a9ed5a83/5.png Leaked Alpha - The Weekend Rundown - How does this bear market look compared to historical? - Make it stand out Whatever it is, the way you tell your story online can make all the difference. https://images.squarespace-cdn.com/content/v1/62f20cc24ebb3315f7d5568f/ab72923d-d90c-4058-924a-0b61867d8439/3.png Leaked Alpha - The Weekend Rundown - How does this bear market look compared to historical? - Make it stand out Whatever it is, the way you tell your story online can make all the difference. https://images.squarespace-cdn.com/content/v1/62f20cc24ebb3315f7d5568f/140d3383-5df7-46ba-addc-4f247c4c22c9/2.png Leaked Alpha - The Weekend Rundown - How does this bear market look compared to historical? - Make it stand out Whatever it is, the way you tell your story online can make all the difference. https://www.tarvislabs.com/leakedalpha/category/Technical+Analysis monthly 0.5 https://www.tarvislabs.com/leakedalpha/tag/Macro+TA monthly 0.5 https://www.tarvislabs.com/leakedalpha/tag/The+Weekend+Rundown monthly 0.5 https://www.tarvislabs.com/welcome daily 0.75 2022-08-09 https://images.squarespace-cdn.com/content/v1/624b503c899bfc701cfc5e29/1649102923779-QRNQ5UGONLABV1KCCRHP/wand-blk%402x.png https://www.tarvislabs.com/home daily 1.0 2023-11-14 https://www.tarvislabs.com/signup daily 0.75 2023-06-16 https://www.tarvislabs.com/support daily 0.75 2023-04-13 https://www.tarvislabs.com/hedge-fund-client-sign-up daily 0.75 2023-06-03 https://www.tarvislabs.com/automated-trading-pilot-faq daily 0.75 2023-05-03 https://www.tarvislabs.com/automated-trading-setup daily 0.75 2023-07-07 https://images.squarespace-cdn.com/content/v1/62f20cc24ebb3315f7d5568f/a39c45f0-3334-4064-b2f0-70e1b8e10419/7.png https://images.squarespace-cdn.com/content/v1/62f20cc24ebb3315f7d5568f/3061119b-c926-4f86-baa2-94b19f8903ef/Screen+Shot+2023-07-04+at+4.55.25+PM.png https://images.squarespace-cdn.com/content/v1/62f20cc24ebb3315f7d5568f/516a7881-393e-420d-92dd-3e6ce6f42527/img6.png https://images.squarespace-cdn.com/content/v1/62f20cc24ebb3315f7d5568f/ffa9daf5-6c80-4146-8de8-898fde261baf/3.png https://images.squarespace-cdn.com/content/v1/62f20cc24ebb3315f7d5568f/c9035a76-8428-4672-963f-3b7d538e408e/img4.png https://images.squarespace-cdn.com/content/v1/62f20cc24ebb3315f7d5568f/aca26b12-c36e-4bd7-8f6d-faf1c8474187/3.png https://images.squarespace-cdn.com/content/v1/62f20cc24ebb3315f7d5568f/673aa590-9afe-40aa-a29f-359fea2f8030/1.png https://images.squarespace-cdn.com/content/v1/62f20cc24ebb3315f7d5568f/ed458363-0855-4cc8-80b6-0120f7308fd6/6.png https://images.squarespace-cdn.com/content/v1/62f20cc24ebb3315f7d5568f/7e0b5cef-31ef-4bfc-a882-d9d22848e893/2.png https://images.squarespace-cdn.com/content/v1/62f20cc24ebb3315f7d5568f/2d003d9d-97f5-447e-b642-db595e7d09a8/5.png https://images.squarespace-cdn.com/content/v1/62f20cc24ebb3315f7d5568f/e56821b3-9484-4734-94ec-ebdc89a12c15/10.png https://images.squarespace-cdn.com/content/v1/62f20cc24ebb3315f7d5568f/0eb0602e-1b30-44b3-8a4f-e96e98d13b2f/Screen+Shot+2023-05-02+at+12.04.33+PM.png https://images.squarespace-cdn.com/content/v1/62f20cc24ebb3315f7d5568f/f75ee238-e0fa-4bfb-bfc7-cd356b24adf5/6.png https://images.squarespace-cdn.com/content/v1/62f20cc24ebb3315f7d5568f/79716664-fc9d-45be-b3bd-24637898801e/4.png https://images.squarespace-cdn.com/content/v1/62f20cc24ebb3315f7d5568f/1d2b1914-09d2-4bf9-92f8-6b6c34899f12/img2.png https://images.squarespace-cdn.com/content/v1/62f20cc24ebb3315f7d5568f/624912fb-92b7-4e36-a320-a07c2874b580/img5.png https://images.squarespace-cdn.com/content/v1/62f20cc24ebb3315f7d5568f/7b4c0212-d345-4f34-b3df-aad8cfda25de/12.png https://images.squarespace-cdn.com/content/v1/62f20cc24ebb3315f7d5568f/5c04a890-162d-4d76-baed-6a751a814951/4.png https://images.squarespace-cdn.com/content/v1/62f20cc24ebb3315f7d5568f/5c5788ae-ba99-4e19-8924-3ec978636c62/4.png https://images.squarespace-cdn.com/content/v1/62f20cc24ebb3315f7d5568f/079c7b27-9915-40e4-bd13-c0d8b24fa38c/2.png https://images.squarespace-cdn.com/content/v1/62f20cc24ebb3315f7d5568f/c77e597b-75e0-42cb-815b-86e0589cf02c/5.png https://images.squarespace-cdn.com/content/v1/62f20cc24ebb3315f7d5568f/4b8ab8d7-7951-41a4-83ca-e99fd6b77513/7.png https://images.squarespace-cdn.com/content/v1/62f20cc24ebb3315f7d5568f/46752c50-c01a-4f23-8878-42bd693b5a7a/5.png https://images.squarespace-cdn.com/content/v1/62f20cc24ebb3315f7d5568f/4f03613e-ad27-45c3-8833-7dafe3c07a45/img3.png https://images.squarespace-cdn.com/content/v1/62f20cc24ebb3315f7d5568f/6981f32d-88e2-405b-b48e-8c9d4f848145/11.png https://images.squarespace-cdn.com/content/v1/62f20cc24ebb3315f7d5568f/d50f6fb9-6f8a-425a-8e22-1ec5a6c1396f/Screen+Shot+2023-07-04+at+4.44.45+PM.png https://images.squarespace-cdn.com/content/v1/62f20cc24ebb3315f7d5568f/17be96c8-ad42-4d5f-85ad-b733f9634a44/8.png https://images.squarespace-cdn.com/content/v1/62f20cc24ebb3315f7d5568f/f8d6d153-14f9-4d5e-b6be-5559ee1ef9e3/6.png https://images.squarespace-cdn.com/content/v1/62f20cc24ebb3315f7d5568f/996304b4-bc80-468d-a678-212886cc6344/img1.png https://images.squarespace-cdn.com/content/v1/62f20cc24ebb3315f7d5568f/bca1a1f6-65e6-44f8-88fe-3219ca6274f3/1.png https://www.tarvislabs.com/perform-system-upgrade daily 0.75 2023-07-05 https://images.squarespace-cdn.com/content/v1/62f20cc24ebb3315f7d5568f/f658b1d3-e21c-4cf5-ab33-09f1c6c46216/Screen+Shot+2023-05-18+at+11.35.02+AM.png https://images.squarespace-cdn.com/content/v1/62f20cc24ebb3315f7d5568f/43042359-029a-434c-a974-4a9dfaf2e03b/Screen+Shot+2023-05-18+at+11.36.55+AM.png https://images.squarespace-cdn.com/content/v1/62f20cc24ebb3315f7d5568f/434a3f9d-9498-4688-82ff-6fa941d0340a/Screen+Shot+2023-05-18+at+11.33.31+AM.png https://images.squarespace-cdn.com/content/v1/62f20cc24ebb3315f7d5568f/afd1e8ff-8063-4dd4-a90d-529345520e3a/Screen+Shot+2023-05-18+at+11.36.15+AM.png https://images.squarespace-cdn.com/content/v1/62f20cc24ebb3315f7d5568f/0a098721-7c14-4a3d-975f-269d9349e9e0/Screen+Shot+2023-05-18+at+11.47.09+AM.png https://images.squarespace-cdn.com/content/v1/62f20cc24ebb3315f7d5568f/a279a2f7-780d-4127-a343-b74c2e0a6b72/image123.png https://images.squarespace-cdn.com/content/v1/62f20cc24ebb3315f7d5568f/104b8430-606a-445e-a51c-a565d1badbfe/Screen+Shot+2023-05-18+at+11.36.31+AM.png https://images.squarespace-cdn.com/content/v1/62f20cc24ebb3315f7d5568f/5f465709-5dcb-4c67-9893-ef153caffa35/Screen+Shot+2023-05-18+at+11.35.47+AM.png https://www.tarvislabs.com/updating-your-configuration daily 0.75 2023-07-07 https://images.squarespace-cdn.com/content/v1/62f20cc24ebb3315f7d5568f/079c7b27-9915-40e4-bd13-c0d8b24fa38c/2.png https://images.squarespace-cdn.com/content/v1/62f20cc24ebb3315f7d5568f/bca1a1f6-65e6-44f8-88fe-3219ca6274f3/1.png https://images.squarespace-cdn.com/content/v1/62f20cc24ebb3315f7d5568f/6981f32d-88e2-405b-b48e-8c9d4f848145/11.png https://images.squarespace-cdn.com/content/v1/62f20cc24ebb3315f7d5568f/5c5788ae-ba99-4e19-8924-3ec978636c62/4.png https://images.squarespace-cdn.com/content/v1/62f20cc24ebb3315f7d5568f/79716664-fc9d-45be-b3bd-24637898801e/4.png https://images.squarespace-cdn.com/content/v1/62f20cc24ebb3315f7d5568f/d50f6fb9-6f8a-425a-8e22-1ec5a6c1396f/Screen+Shot+2023-07-04+at+4.44.45+PM.png https://images.squarespace-cdn.com/content/v1/62f20cc24ebb3315f7d5568f/21173ba9-3a12-4290-89b2-c46fe448f84d/Screen+Shot+2023-07-04+at+11.28.17+PM.png https://images.squarespace-cdn.com/content/v1/62f20cc24ebb3315f7d5568f/07412a74-503c-4150-b7f3-ad147fd0f4b7/Screen+Shot+2023-07-05+at+10.37.15+AM.png https://images.squarespace-cdn.com/content/v1/62f20cc24ebb3315f7d5568f/260bb4b7-001c-46aa-af7a-44d8595b094a/1.png https://images.squarespace-cdn.com/content/v1/62f20cc24ebb3315f7d5568f/ea497be2-39c1-4780-b859-b768ae32cbc6/Screen+Shot+2023-07-04+at+11.00.53+PM.png https://images.squarespace-cdn.com/content/v1/62f20cc24ebb3315f7d5568f/ebf3fef1-2d38-4a6f-a228-f03e9a0efac6/Screen+Shot+2023-07-05+at+10.49.46+AM.png https://images.squarespace-cdn.com/content/v1/62f20cc24ebb3315f7d5568f/820d8521-2199-4c1a-ae15-ea31c2f883e3/Screen+Shot+2023-07-04+at+11.21.34+PM.png https://images.squarespace-cdn.com/content/v1/62f20cc24ebb3315f7d5568f/ed458363-0855-4cc8-80b6-0120f7308fd6/6.png https://images.squarespace-cdn.com/content/v1/62f20cc24ebb3315f7d5568f/3b0a0b20-f8b0-462c-b3ff-b75e60bce856/2.png https://images.squarespace-cdn.com/content/v1/62f20cc24ebb3315f7d5568f/7e0b5cef-31ef-4bfc-a882-d9d22848e893/2.png https://images.squarespace-cdn.com/content/v1/62f20cc24ebb3315f7d5568f/673aa590-9afe-40aa-a29f-359fea2f8030/1.png https://images.squarespace-cdn.com/content/v1/62f20cc24ebb3315f7d5568f/066205de-eded-4944-bd57-80f2c6e1f8d4/Screen+Shot+2023-07-04+at+11.00.36+PM.png https://images.squarespace-cdn.com/content/v1/62f20cc24ebb3315f7d5568f/aca26b12-c36e-4bd7-8f6d-faf1c8474187/3.png https://images.squarespace-cdn.com/content/v1/62f20cc24ebb3315f7d5568f/2d003d9d-97f5-447e-b642-db595e7d09a8/5.png https://images.squarespace-cdn.com/content/v1/62f20cc24ebb3315f7d5568f/e56821b3-9484-4734-94ec-ebdc89a12c15/10.png https://images.squarespace-cdn.com/content/v1/62f20cc24ebb3315f7d5568f/7b4c0212-d345-4f34-b3df-aad8cfda25de/12.png https://images.squarespace-cdn.com/content/v1/62f20cc24ebb3315f7d5568f/17be96c8-ad42-4d5f-85ad-b733f9634a44/8.png